Event Characteristics |
• Arrival
| • When is the event expected to "hit" the hospital? The metropolitan area? • How variable is the time the event is expected to "hit"? |
• The amount of time until the event "hits," combined with the anticipated time to evacuate patients, determines how long an evacuation decision can be deferred.
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• Magnitude
| • What is the expected strength of the event? • How likely is the event to gain or lose strength before it reaches the hospital? The metropolitan area? |
• The magnitude of the event forewarns of the potential damage to a facility and utilities, which could cut off the supply of key resources, or otherwise limit the ability to shelter-in-place and care for patients.
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• Area impacted
| • How large a geographic area will be affected by the event? • How many vulnerable health care facilities are in this geographic area? |
• Competition for resources needed to evacuate patients (especially vehicles) increases when several facilities evacuate simultaneously.
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• Duration
| • How long is the event expected to last? • How variable is the expected duration of the event? |
• The duration of the event will affect how long hospitals have to shelter-in-place or operate using backup, alternative, or less predictable sources of key resources.
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Anticipated Effect on Key Resources |
• Water source
| • Is the main city water supply in jeopardy? Already nonfunctional? • Is there a backup water supply (a well, nearby building with intact water mains)? If not, how soon will city water return? | • Water loss of unknown duration (more than 1-2 days) is almost always cause for evacuation. |
• Heat source
| • Is the heat source in jeopardy (steam, water for boilers, etc.)? Already nonfunctional? • Is there a backup (intact nearby building that still has power/heat)? • If not, will the building become too cold for patient safety before adequate heat returns? |
• Loss of heat, especially during a northern winter, is almost always a cause for evacuation—often within 12 hours.
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• Electricity
| • Is power in jeopardy? Just for the hospital or for a wider area? • Are backup generators functional? How long can they run without refueling? Is refueling possible (e.g., intake not under water)? • Can some sections/wings be shut down to reduce fuel consumption and stretch fuel supplies? |
• Loss of electricity endangers ventilated patients, among others, and may affect the sequence in which patients are evacuated.
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• Building's structural integrity
| • Is the building obviously/visibly unsafe? All of it or only portions (e.g., can people be consolidated in safer sections)? • Was there a water tower on the roof, and is it intact? • Is a building engineer needed to determine structural integrity/safety? | • Earthquakes or explosions may cause rooftop water towers to fall, flooding the building. • Safety/integrity may not be obvious to untrained occupants. |
Anticipated Effect on the Surrounding Environment and Community |
• Road conditions
| • Are major routes from the hospital to potential receiving care sites closed? • Is traffic at gridlock on major routes from the hospital to potential receiving care sites? • Are access routes to the hospital cut off? | • There may be a limited window of opportunity to carry out a ground-based evacuation. • Increased use of helicopters to evacuate patients may be required. • Staff may not be able to get to the hospital to relieve existing staff or assist in the evacuation. |
• Community/building security
| • Have any nearby areas experienced increases in disorder or looting? • Are local law enforcement agencies understaffed due to self-evacuations or significant additional responsibilities? • Are additional private security officers available to secure the hospital? |
• If patient and staff safety cannot be assured, evacuation will be necessary.
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• Evacuation status of nearby health care facilities
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• Are other hospitals or health care facilities evacuating or planning to evacuate, or have they decided to shelter-in-place?
| • If other hospitals or health care facilities are evacuating:
- – the competition for ambulances, wheelchair vans, and buses may be substantially increased.
- – the hospital may be asked to accept additional patients.
- – patients may have to be relocated to facilities further away than anticipated.
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• State/county/local evacuation orders
| • Have evacuation orders been issued in areas that are closer to the event? • Have any public or private statements been issued regarding the possibility of an evacuation order? • Have any other incidents occurred that increase the likelihood that an evacuation order will be issued? |
• You may have no choice but to evacuate.
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•Availability of local emergency response agencies
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• Are local emergency response agencies understaffed (or otherwise unavailable) due to self-evacuations or additional responsibilities?
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• Unavailability of local fire agencies increases the risk of sheltering-in-place.
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